Revenue, CapEx and OpEx breakdown

Lynnway Park: Assumptions & Sources

The baseline and reasoning behind every number in the model: revenue scenarios first, then the CapEx and OpEx line items in Advanced Analysis. Each section states the baseline used and what the site and construction team still need to confirm.

9 items to verify Advanced → Basic, linked Research basis, not vendor quotes

Summary matrix: 0 Circle Avenue vs. 626 Lynnway

The model's two site options side by side: a new-build data center at 0 Circle Avenue, or a landlord conversion of the 2nd floor of 626 Lynnway into a Micro Edge Data Center (MEDC).

Driver (see §1)0 Circle Avenue (New Build, Shell-Only, 6MW)626 Lynnway (Conversion, MEDC, 4MW)
Who builds whatLand, site works and shell only; the operator funds and installs the MEP/ITFloor preparation only; the operator (e.g. Proxim8) brings, builds, owns and operates its own IT
Landlord CapEx~$22.41M (own account, 6MW)~$2.72M (4MW)
Rate-setting methodLandlord rent is an input; yield on cost is the result, checked against the 7.00–8.50% powered-shell development bandLandlord rent is an input; yield on cost is the result, checked against DataCenterHawk's 7–14% shell deal band, see §3
Rate earned (default)$28.37/kW/mo (≈12.0% of the $237 blend); yield on cost ≈8.2%$11.43/kW/mo for the data hall, all-in (≈4.4% of the $260 blend), plus about $0.28M/yr for the remaining 25,000 SF; yield on cost ≈26.5%
Cost recovery from tenant~98% (true NNN)~98% (true NNN; landlord role, same as Shell-Only)
Staffing cost$0 (operator's responsibility), §9Operator's responsibility; landlord carries only a 24/7 guard post (about $0.18M/yr), §9
Facility maintenance$0 (operator's responsibility), §11$0 (operator's responsibility), §11
BasisLynnway Park is landlord in both scenarios, never operator. Landlord rent ($/kW/mo) is an input on every model page; yield on cost is the result, the first stabilised year's NOI divided by landlord CapEx. The default rents are what the earlier yield-based method produced: $11.43/kW/mo at 626 Lynnway (a 12% yield on the $2.72M conversion cost, plus the floor space) and $28.37/kW/mo at 0 Circle Avenue Shell-Only (a 7.75% yield on new-build cost). The 626 rent is a working figure until the operator's heads of terms replace it. Yields are checked against DataCenterHawk's 2026 shell deal band (7–14%) for 626 Lynnway and the 7.00–8.50% powered-shell development band for 0 Circle Avenue. 626 Lynnway's yield (≈26.5% at the default) sits above its band because the building is already owned, so CapEx covers only the fit-out, and NOI includes about $0.28M/yr of balance-space rent (§3). Both scenarios run in the Revenue Model, Advanced Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Risk Scenarios tabs.

Costs: CapEx by component

The same two options by CapEx line item, matching the detailed table in §3 (including fire suppression and security).

Component (see §3)0 Circle Avenue626 Lynnway
Shell build (landlord share of build cost)$1.94M/MW × 1.15 scale factor ≈ $13.39MAvoided
IT / mechanical / electrical fit-out$0 (operator-funded under Shell-Only)$0 (operator's own equipment)
Flood mitigation (separate estimate per site)$4.00MOwn estimate: ground-floor switchgear protection $0.40M
Grid interconnect / power fit-out$3.18MOwn estimate: $0.15M/MW 480V fit-out ($0.60M) + reinstating the idled second transformer ($0.20M, excl. National Grid charges) = $0.80M
Fibre$0.49MSecond diverse route: line available, not yet installed (estimate) +$0.25M
Structural reinforcement (floor loading, one-time Phase 1)+$0.15M
Roof reinforcement for rooftop cooling (estimate, one-time Phase 1)+$0.45M
Fire suppression (one-time Phase 1)+$0.04M
2nd-floor cable pathway / minor floor modification (one-time Phase 1)+$0.08M
Vertical logistics (hoisting)+$0.45M
Security: mantrap + biometric access+$0.06M
Security: CCTV (one-time Phase 1)+$0.05M
Security systems (blended $45/SF)$45/SF ≈ $1.35M
Total landlord CapEx (0 Circle Avenue at 6MW; 626 Lynnway at 4MW)$22.41M≈$2.72M
BasisTwo 626 Lynnway items are not CapEx and sit outside the table. The first is rent on the space outside the data hall, at the 626 Lynnway feasibility study's $11/SF/yr average Lynn industrial asking rent (the data hall's own floor space is inside the $11.43/kW/mo rent). The second is a 24/7 guard post ($145–222K/yr, wage only, from the feasibility study's Massachusetts benchmark): an annual landlord OpEx line, mostly recovered from the tenant under the 98% NNN structure at stabilised occupancy.
Basis626 Lynnway defaults to 4MW, phased 1MW → 2MW → 4MW. The site has two 3,750 kVA utility transformers, one idled by National Grid. The live one supports about 2MW of IT, so Phase 3 (2 → 4MW) depends on reinstating the second. The data hall grows from 5,000 SF to 15,000 SF; the remaining 25,000 SF of the ~40,000 SF lease is let at the $11/SF/yr base rate, about $0.28M a year. The cage, floor, roof and fibre items are one-time Phase 1 spends sized to the full 15,000 SF hall; only grid work and logistics recur per phase. Roof, fibre and flood figures are estimates, not quotes.
Revenue Model

1. Revenue scenarios: rack density & rate by tenant type

Rack density and operator rate by workload, and how that converts into what Lynnway Park earns, which is a different number from what the operator charges tenants.

ScenariokW/rackOperator rate (T0)RangeWhy
AI/HPC: Training250$340/kW/mo$260–$400Densest tier; needs liquid or immersion cooling
AI/HPC: Inference80$260/kW/mo$200–$300Top of the GPU-hosting range; dense but not training-grade
Enterprise / healthcare colo8$205/kW/mo$170–$240Confirmed local demand (hospital); high reliability, lower density
Media & broadcast hosting30$190/kW/mo$155–$225Confirmed local demand (film studio); dense but not GPU work
Mail / web hosting4$140/kW/mo$110–$170Commodity tier; priced above the national floor for the Boston premium

Rates are Boston-area market pricing, not vendor or tenant quotes. New Build defaults to a blend (60% Inference / 30% Enterprise / 10% Media ≈ $237/kW/mo), used only to report the landlord ratio below; the rent itself is an input. 626 Lynnway 2F defaults to a dedicated MEDC archetype.

Tenant archetypes. At 6–12MW a diversified Standard Colo mix is hard to fill, and a single specialist tenant (a "neocloud" GPU operator) is more realistic. Revenue Model, Advanced Analysis and MC Simulation toggle between three archetypes:

ParameterStandard ColoNeoCloud GPUMEDC: AI Inference
Workload mix60% Inference / 30% Enterprise / 10% Media40% Training / 60% Inference100% Inference
Operator blend (T0)$237/kW/mo$292/kW/mo$260/kW/mo
Landlord rent (default, an input)$28.37/kW/mo$28.37/kW/mo (same Shell-Only rent)$11.43/kW/mo, all-in data-hall rent (4MW/15,000SF default) + $0.28M/yr balance-space rent
Landlord ratio (rent ÷ blend, output)≈12.0%≈9.7%≈4.4%, see §3
PUE1.40 (air-cooled)1.10 (direct-to-chip liquid)1.40 (air-cooled)
CapEx/MW (base)$12.9M$14.84M (+15%, illustrative)$12.9M
Construction14mo12mo3mo, the operator's stated time-to-power (Proxim8)
Lease-up30mo to 85%9mo to 90%6mo to 85% (1MW → 2MW → 4MW phased)
Stable by (construction + ramp)Month 44Month 21Month 9
Landlord staffing / G&A$0/yr$0/yr$0/yr (24/7 guard post carried separately, about $0.18M/yr)

Construction is not what sets the timeline at this size. Uptime Institute puts ground-breaking to operation at 8–10 months for a 5–19.9MW build using best practice, excluding permitting and power (Uptime Institute, Best-in-class data center provisioning, 2020). The power connection does: National Grid's Massachusetts timetable gives 15–35 weeks for commercial service of 200kW or more, and 1.5–3.5 years for loads that need new substation or transmission work (National Grid, Connections Durations, September 2025). The 0 Circle Avenue feasibility study puts procurement, construction and commissioning at 15–24 months, 18–30 months in the downside; the model's 14-month construction sits below that range and should be read as the optimistic case. NeoCloud stabilises faster because large AI/GPU deals are increasingly pre-leased before completion. The MEDC conversion is faster still: a fit-out of an existing floor with power already on site, phased 1MW → 2MW → 4MW (see §3). Both Shell-Only archetypes default to the same $28.37/kW/mo rent, so NeoCloud's higher operator rate only lowers the landlord ratio, and its higher liquid-cooling CapEx lowers yield on cost. A higher-paying tenant type does not by itself raise landlord income.

BasisLandlord G&A: $0/yr. The operator bears all OpEx under the landlord/tenant model (§3, §9, §11), including ongoing security staffing; at 626 Lynnway the landlord carries only the 24/7 guard post. The one-time $45/SF security CapEx (fencing, mantrap, CCTV, SOC tie-in) covers installation only; recurring monitoring sits with the operator and is not modelled.

2. Data center type comparison

TypeCapEx/MWFibreStaff (if operated; not in the landlord model)Maintenance
Baseline (Tier III colocation, 6MW)$12.90M/MW$0.49M$2.00M/yr$0.30M/MW/yr
Hyperscale / Wholesale: standardised design, bulk procurement, tenants self-manage IT$11.61M/MW$0.34M$1.50M/yr$0.27M/MW/yr
Enterprise / Retail Colo: many small tenants, more cross-connects & on-site support$14.84M/MW$0.78M$2.60M/yr$0.33M/MW/yr
Edge / Micro DC: fixed-cost equipment spread over fewer MW$16.77M/MW$0.59M$2.30M/yr$0.32M/MW/yr
To verifyEstimated scaling multipliers (CapEx/MW, fibre, staff, maintenance) on the 6MW baseline, not benchmarks or vendor quotes for this site. Directional only.
CapEx line items

3. Build type: new build vs. conversion

Two cost profiles: a new-build modular data center at 0 Circle Avenue, or a conversion of the 2nd floor of 626 Lynnway that reuses the existing building for a small footprint and fast turn-up. The conversion is costed on its own line items rather than as a discount on the new build.

The 2nd floor of 626 Lynnway (74,353 SF) is 12% occupied (≈65,431 SF vacant), of industrial construction, with an existing elevator. The site has two 3,750 kVA utility transformers, one of them idled.

Conversion runs 10–15% below new-build cost. Electrical and mechanical work is new either way; the saving is the avoided shell and civil work. The industrial construction and existing elevator also reduce structural reinforcement and vertical logistics costs.

Flood: the data hall is on the 2nd floor, but the 2021 as-builts put the 4,160V switchgear and transformers on the 1st floor, so 626 Lynnway carries its own $0.40M estimate. Power (2021 electrical as-builts): two 3,750 kVA utility transformers (~3.4MW each), one idled. The live one leaves room for about 2MW of IT after existing tenants, so Phase 3 (2 → 4MW) depends on National Grid re-energising the second; 626 Lynnway carries its own power estimates (480V fit-out $0.15M/MW, reinstatement $0.20M). Fibre: a second diverse route is available but not installed (estimate $0.25M). Landlord CapEx is floor preparation only, with structural, fire suppression and security costed per SF. Site Scenario Comparison has the full landlord breakdown.

Component (New build at 6MW; Conversion at 4MW with a 15,000 SF data hall)New buildConversion (MEDC landlord)
Shell build (landlord share of build cost)$1.94M/MW × 1.15 scale factor ≈ $13.39MAvoided (existing building)
IT / mechanical / electrical fit-out$0 (operator-funded under Shell-Only)$0 (operator's own equipment)
Flood mitigation (separate estimate per site)$4.00MOwn estimate: ground-floor switchgear protection $0.40M
Grid interconnect / power fit-out$3.18MOwn estimate: $0.15M/MW 480V fit-out ($0.60M) + reinstating the idled second transformer ($0.20M, excl. National Grid charges) = $0.80M
Fibre$0.49MSecond diverse route: line available, not yet installed (estimate) +$0.25M
Structural reinforcement ($10/SF, 15,000 SF data hall, one-time)+$0.15M
Roof reinforcement ($30/SF estimate, 15,000 SF, one-time)+$0.45M
Fire suppression ($2.5/SF, 15,000 SF, one-time)+$0.04M
2nd-floor cable pathway / minor floor modification ($5/SF, 15,000 SF, one-time; ceiling 13–17 ft, no raised floor needed)+$0.08M
Vertical logistics (hoisting, $0.15M × 3 phases)+$0.45M
Security: mantrap + biometric access (one-time)+$0.06M
Security: CCTV ($3/SF, 15,000 SF, one-time)+$0.05M
Security systems (new, blended $45/SF)$45/SF ≈ $1.35M
Total landlord CapEx$22.41M (New Build Shell-Only, own account)≈$2.72M

Three 626 Lynnway items sit outside the CapEx table. Landlord rent: the data-hall rent is an input, default $11.43/kW/mo all-in. It is the figure the earlier method produced at the 4MW / 15,000 SF default: a 12% yield on the $2.72M CapEx (≈$7.99/kW/mo) plus the floor space at the Lynn industrial average asking rent ($11/SF/yr, range $5–25/SF; ≈$3.44/kW/mo at 3.75 SF/kW), the two lines the 626 Lynnway feasibility study's §7 table sums to its "owner basis". Nothing is added on top, and the operator's heads of terms will replace it. The remaining 25,000 SF of the ~40,000 SF lease is billed separately at $11/SF/yr, about $0.28M a year. Yield on cost is the result: ≈26.5% at the default, above DataCenterHawk's 7–14% shell deal band because the building is already owned (CapEx is fit-out only) and NOI includes the balance-space rent. 24/7 guard post: an annual landlord OpEx line ($0.1835M/yr, the midpoint of the feasibility study's Massachusetts wage-only benchmark, $145–222K/yr), recovered like insurance and property tax under the 98% NNN structure: mostly passed through to the tenant-operator at stabilised occupancy, with the landlord bearing a larger share during the early occupancy ramp.

The cage and floor preparation (structural, fire suppression, CCTV) is a single build-out sized to the full 15,000 SF data hall and spent once in Phase 1. Only the racks and equipment (operator CapEx, not landlord CapEx) scale with each later phase's added MW, so these three lines do not recur in Phases 2 and 3; the table shows the full 4MW build-out. The conversion is phased 1MW → 2MW → 4MW: grid work and logistics scale per phase, while flood, structural, fire suppression and security are Phase 1 only, sized to the full data hall.

The conversion's small landlord CapEx and rent reflect its scope. Standard "powered shell" market benchmarks (construction cost or rent, both in $/SF) price a landlord building a new powered shell from scratch: foundations, envelope and a new utility service. At 626 Lynnway the building already stands, power is on site (two 3,750 kVA utility transformers per the 2021 as-builts, one of them idled) and the operator brings its own equipment. The landlord confirms the floor can take the load, provides a security cage and mantrap, and covers flood protection and grid work, so a new-shell comparable would price in scope Lynnway Park does not fund. With no clean data-center-specific rent comparable for this scope, the default rent was set from a 12% yield on the fit-out CapEx plus the floor space at Lynn industrial asking rents, and the resulting yield is checked against DataCenterHawk's shell deal band. The operator's heads of terms will replace it with a real figure.

New Build has two fundable structures, a toggle on Basic Analysis, Advanced Analysis and Revenue Model: Shell-Only (above: Lynnway Park builds only the shell; an operator funds and installs the MEP/IT) or Full-Turnkey Landlord-Funded (Lynnway Park funds the complete facility and leases directly to the tenant, with no operator in between), sourced from a dedicated 0 Circle Avenue feasibility study. Full MEP cost already includes shell/core (Turner & Townsend's cost allocation puts shell/core at 9–14% of the full-MEP total), so it is not a separate line on top of Shell-Only's.

Full-Turnkey profileFull MEP $/MWLandlord rent (default)Yield on cost at default (result)Term / take-or-pay
AI/HPC (liquid-cooled)$15.5M$198.83/kW/mo≈8.7%10–15yr, 80–100%
Healthcare$13.0M$153.21/kW/mo≈7.4%7–12yr, 70–90%
Micro-colo/Edge$13.0M$114.91/kW/mo≈5.2%5–10yr, staged

The rent is an input and stays editable; yield on cost is the result (first stabilised year's NOI ÷ CapEx, at 6MW with land owned). Each default is what the earlier method produced at 6MW from a per-profile yield target (≈9%/8%/6%, from the 0 Circle Avenue feasibility study's implied gross rent/cost screens at each profile's midpoint pricing), so it is an estimate. The result sits below those targets because NOI is net of the landlord's maintenance and unrecovered OpEx. Civil and site work ($2M/MW) and a 20% soft-cost markup are Full-Turnkey-only lines; grid, flood and fibre reuse the Shell-Only site-level fields. Here the landlord bears facility maintenance (unlike Shell-Only and the conversion) but not operating staff, which stays with the tenant (§9). Recovery is 85%, not Shell-Only's 98% NNN, reflecting the modified-gross lease the 0 Circle Avenue feasibility study describes. A micro-colo operator can sublease at retail rates well above this landlord screen ($155–250/kW/mo per CBRE); that spread is the operator's margin, not landlord rent.

To verifyAll figures are estimates, not contractor quotes. No floor-load rating exists for the 2nd floor of 626 Lynnway; a structural engineer's assessment is the first next step. The $11.43/kW/mo default rent, the security CapEx, and whether the 15,000 SF data hall supports the phased 4MW IT load are also unverified estimates. Full-Turnkey's land cost ($24.63M here) sits well above the 0 Circle Avenue study's $4–8M placeholder (built around the parcel's $4.04M assessed land value, not a market price) and needs reconciling with the study.

4. Build cost sub-trades

The $12.9M/MW build cost split into four sub-trades, per published data center construction studies: electrical largest, then mechanical/HVAC, shell/civil and residual fit-out.

Sub-tradeShare$M / MW
Electrical42%$5.42
Mechanical / HVAC (incl. A/C)18%$2.32
Shell / Civil / General Contractor13%$1.68
Fire protection + fit-out + sheet metal (residual)27%$3.48
Total100%$12.90
To verifySheet metal is not benchmarked separately in public data; it sits in the residual 27%, an estimate until quotes arrive.

5. HV interconnection & transformer procurement

$3.18M combined mean, an estimate until a current utility quote arrives. It is above an earlier informal $1M estimate that predates recent New England interconnection cost increases.

ComponentBaselineRange
HV interconnection & construction$2.63M$1.0M–$4.0M
Transformer procurement (10MW-class)$0.55M$0.3M–$0.8M
Total$3.18M
To verifyThe transformer line is sized at 10MW against a 12MW site cap, so it is likely undersized at the upper end and should be re-quoted at 12MW. No current-year Massachusetts-specific $/MW interconnection benchmark was found, so the figure stays an estimate until a utility interconnection study arrives.

6. Cooling type: traditional vs. phase-change

A toggle switches between air cooling (default, PUE 1.40) and liquid cooling, applying the CapEx premium and PUE improvement live to CapEx, NPV and IRR.

CapExPUE
Traditional (chilled water / CRAC), default1.40 (unchanged)
Phase-change (closed-loop, waterless)+$1.5–2.0M / MW~1.20
Impact at the 6MW default (tickbox on vs. off)CapExNPVIRR
Phase-change cooling only+$10.50MTo be updatedTo be updated
BasisLiquid cooling eliminates water OpEx, but the model has no separate water cost line, so there is no hidden saving to double-count. The CapEx premium scales with installed MW. The current tenant mix is not expected to need it, so it stays an upside option. Advanced Analysis shows the live NPV/IRR impact.

7. On-site power

None in the model: purchased grid power carries the full IT load in every case.

The behind-the-meter lead is the WIN Waste Saugus waste-to-energy plant, 1.1 miles away, 57.8MW nameplate and about 33MW firm. It is a commercial question (uncommitted capacity, power purchase position, and a private-wire easement across urban Lynn), not a modelling one, and is not priced here. See Environment §3.

8. Phasing, contingency, design/engineering & PM

Contingency, design/engineering and PM soft costs sit inside the 1.15× build cost scale factor (new build only), as do foundations, piles and sales tax. Advanced Analysis shows them as an informational breakdown, not an added charge. Hard costs draw 45% in the first half of construction and 55% in the second; land is paid in full at T0.

ComponentBasis$M, 0 Circle Avenue Shell-Only, 6MW, land owned
Contingency10% of hard cost ex-land$2.24M
Design / engineering8% of hard cost ex-land$1.79M
Project management5% of hard cost ex-land$1.12M
Combined soft costs (informational, already inside the build cost, not added)23% of hard cost ex-land$5.15M
Total landlord CapEx (§1, §3)$22.41M
To verify10% is a general industry contingency benchmark, not a site- or contractor-specific figure. The mechanical/electrical contractor should confirm whether their budgeting convention differs, and whether to adjust the build-cost scale factor rather than add a separate line.
OpEx line items

9. Staffing

The landlord model carries no facility staff in any case: Lynnway Park owns and leases the space, and the operator or tenant runs the facility and employs its staff. At 626 Lynnway the landlord carries only a 24/7 guard post (about $0.18M a year, §3). The 0 Circle Avenue Full-Turnkey case keeps a small landlord G&A line ($0.05M a year) but no operating staff.

Operating team, if Lynnway Park ran the facility (reference only)FTELoaded rateCost/yr
Facility / site manager1.0$67/hr$0.14M
Critical-environment technicians (24/7, two per shift)9.0$46/hr$0.86M
Security, unarmed (24/7)4.5$26/hr$0.25M
NOC / monitoring (shared)1.0$43/hr$0.09M
Electrical / mechanical engineer (on call)1.0$58/hr$0.12M
Admin / compliance0.5$38/hr$0.04M
Total17.0≈$1.49M

A standard 24/7 Tier III colocation crew at 2,080 hours per FTE. A size-scaled industry benchmark suggests about 2 FTE for a 6MW site (see Benchmark Comparison §7), and security and monitoring are often outsourced or shared, so a leaner operator would likely run 6 to 8 FTE (about $0.6–0.8M a year). None of this is in the model.

10. Power: tariff, escalation & pass-through

IT power draw × PUE × monthly hours × tariff, escalated yearly. Both landlord structures pass power through as true NNN: Lynnway Park is landlord at 0 Circle Avenue Shell-Only and at the 626 Lynnway conversion, so the operator pays for its own power draw either way.

Field (Advanced Analysis)Current value
Power tariff (T0)$45.38 / MWh
Tariff inflation4.0% / yr
PUE1.40
Deal structureCost recovery from tenantsRetained by Lynnway Park
Shell-Only (true NNN)~98%~2%
626 Lynnway conversion, MEDC (true NNN; landlord role, same as Shell-Only)~98%~2%
Full-Turnkey New Build (modified gross, §3)~85%~15%
To verifyThe T0 electricity tariff (4.538¢/kWh) is treated as a PPA offtake rate for the new build, to be confirmed by the broker. It looks low against National Grid's filed industrial rate (~17.1¢/kWh) and the EIA Massachusetts commercial average cited in the 626 Lynnway feasibility study (24.07¢/kWh, May 2026), but both are delivered retail rates, a different kind of figure from a negotiated offtake price, so the gap alone does not make it wrong. It stays as a broker-sourced PPA rate.

11. Maintenance: trade breakdown

$0/yr under Shell-Only and the 626 Lynnway conversion: as landlord, Lynnway Park leaves maintenance to the operator. The $0.300M/MW/yr reference build below (split by sub-trade, mirroring the CapEx structure) applies, as an estimate, under Full-Turnkey New Build (§3), where Lynnway Park bears facility OpEx directly.

No public benchmark splits data center maintenance by trade; industry puts total maintenance at ~2–5% of asset value a year, or ~40% of OpEx at scale. The model uses the CapEx sub-trade proportions (§4) as a proxy, since maintenance intensity broadly tracks the capital value maintained.

Sub-tradeShare$M / MW / yr
Electrical (UPS, switchgear, genset PM & testing)42%$0.13
Mechanical / HVAC (chiller, CRAC PM, filters, refrigerant)18%$0.05
Civil / structural (envelope, roof, general upkeep)13%$0.04
Controls / BMS, fire & life-safety testing, general repairs (residual)27%$0.08
Total100%$0.300
To verifyThe 42/18/13/27 split comes from the CapEx breakdown (§4), not from maintenance spend data. Only the $0.300M/MW/yr total is benchmarked; the per-trade split is illustrative until O&M contract line items are available.
Financing & exit

12. Exit cap rate

The model uses a 7.75% exit cap rate rather than 7.0%. A 7.0% rate assumes a single investment-grade anchor tenant, which the default revenue mix (60% AI Inference / 30% Enterprise-Healthcare / 10% Media) does not have. A diversified, shorter-term mix without a blue-chip anchor typically sells at a higher cap rate, which lowers the estimated sale value: the more cautious assumption.

MeanSDSampled range
Alternative (Training-led / single-anchor assumption)7.00%0.50%5.5%–9.0%
Model (Inference/Colo-led, diversified mix)7.75%0.60%5.5%–9.0%
To verify7.75% is a directional widening (+75bps), not sourced from comparable sales or a broker cap-rate survey for this tenant mix. Replace it with colocation/inference-asset comparables when available, and revisit once the hold period and exit route (sale vs. refinance) are set.

Sources

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